Posted on August 27, 2010. Filed under: A Prophet, Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right, American Worker, Financial Murder, Laws, War, Warmth without Fire, Wordpress | Tags: The Dance, Socialism, America, society, Industrial Warfare, Truth, Politics, Capitalism, Civilized Society, Google, Yahoo, Philip M. Edwards, Marquette University, Harvard University, St. Petersburg Times, New York Times, Milwaukee Journal |
Is a Society equivalent to the sum of its members and will the actions of the members of that society serve to fashion and to shape it, and that the social consequences of intentional actions will most often be unintentional? So, what is a Society to do to ease itself into an obvious oblivion?
Scientific Theories are predictive, however, societies’ songs prohibit most predictions…WOW!
For the Programmer:
Bayes’ Theorem is a simple mathematical formula used for calculating conditional probabilities. It figures prominently in subjectivist or Bayesian approaches to epistemology, statistics, and inductive logic. Subjectivists, who maintain that rational belief is governed by the laws of probability, lean heavily on conditional probabilities in their theories of evidence and their models of empirical learning. Bayes’ Theorem is central to these enterprises both because it simplifies the calculation of conditional probabilities and because it clarifies significant features of subjectivist position.
Indeed, the Theorem’s central insight — that a hypothesis is confirmed by any body of data that its truth renders probable — is the cornerstone of all subjectivist methodology.
Bayes’ Theorem. PE(H) = [P(H)/P(E)] PH(E)
The probability of a hypothesis H conditional on a given body of data E is the ratio of the unconditional probability of the conjunction of the hypothesis with the data to the unconditional probability of the data alone.
Definition:
The probability of H conditional on E is defined as PE(H) = P(H & E)/P(E), provided that both terms of this ratio exist and P(E) > 0
Here are some straightforward consequences…
Probability. PE is a probability function.
Logical Consequence. If E entails H, then PE(H) =
Preservation of Certainties. If P(H) = 1, then PE(H) =
Mixing. P(H) = P(E)PE(H) + P(~E)P~E(H)
So too, there are no reasons for a Society to forever Survive…Societies cannot forever last because they cannot be predicted into a certain oblivion…No Way and No How and Oh My!
Read Full Post |
Comments are Closed
Recently on Pmespeak’s Blog...
Posted on August 20, 2010. Filed under: ACLU, Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right, Christianity, Civil Liberties, Communism, Economics, Financial Murder, Formal Religion, Jewish Nation, Muslims, Religion, Warmth without Fire, Wordpress | Tags: America, Capitalism, Faith, Fear, Florida State University, Gods, Google, Harvard University, Industrial Warfare, Milwaukee Journal, murder, New York Times, Philip M. Edwards, Politics, President Obama, Socialism, St. Petersburg Times, Stealing, Wars, Yahoo |
Posted on August 17, 2010. Filed under: ACLU, Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right | Tags: The Dance, America, Industrial Warfare, Truth, Love, Fear, Capitalism, Laws, Faith, Google, Yahoo, Pills, Drugs, Philip M. Edwards, Marquette University, Harvard University, St. Petersburg Times, New York Times, Milwaukee Journal |
Posted on August 17, 2010. Filed under: Deserts, Romance, Sing-Song, Warmth without Fire, Wordpress, freedom | Tags: The Dance, America, Love, Google, Yahoo, Philip M. Edwards, Motorcycles and Dawn, Marquette University, Harvard University, Florida State University, Harley-Davidson, St. Petersburg Times, New York Times, Milwaukee Journal, Motorcycle |
Posted on August 8, 2010. Filed under: Church, Evangelism, Formal Religion, Greed of Destruction, Heaven, Hell, Prayer, Religion, Theology, Wordpress | Tags: Gods, America, Jesus, Google, Bible Studies, Philip M. Edwards, The Roman Catholic Church, Marquette University, Harvard University, Methodist, Presbyterian, Southern Baptist, St. Petersburg Times, Milwaukee Journal, Church of Latter Day Saints |
Posted on August 1, 2010. Filed under: Warmth without Fire |
Posted on July 21, 2010. Filed under: Divinity, Economics, Greed of Destruction, Prisons, Prophecy, Religion, Riots, Sex, Street Magic, Wordpress | Tags: America, Capitalism, Faith, Family, Fear, Florida State University, Gods, Google, Harvard University, Lake Shore Drive, Love, Marquette University, Milwaukee Journal, New York Times, Philip M. Edwards, Socialism, St. Petersburg Times, The Dance, Truth, Yahoo |
Posted on July 15, 2010. Filed under: ACLU, Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right, American Worker, Communism, Deserts, Economics, Graveyard, The New Revolution, Wordpress | Tags: Socialism, America, Industrial Warfare, Truth, Fear, Capitalism, President Obama, Florida, Google, Yahoo, Philip M. Edwards, Marquette University, Harvard University, Florida State University, St. Petersburg Times, Arizona, War Machines |
Posted on July 2, 2010. Filed under: Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right, Butterfly Kisses, Crusades, Darkness, Economics, Graveyard, Greed of Destruction, Here-to-There, Muslims, People of Islam, War, Wordpress | Tags: Gods, America, survival, Politics, Love, Fear, Capitalism, Hope, Hell, Google, Yahoo, Philip M. Edwards, Marquette University, Harvard University, Florida State University, St. Petersburg Times |
Posted on June 28, 2010. Filed under: Man, Sing-Song, Woman, Wordpress | Tags: LoveSpeak, The Dance, Love, Google, Yahoo, Philip M. Edwards, Memory, Marquette University, Harvard University, Florida State University, Lake Shore Drive, St. Petersburg Times, New York Times, Milwaukee Journal, Harmony, Sweet, Moments |
Posted on June 24, 2010. Filed under: ACLU, Agendas Of The Left, Agendas Of The Right, Civil Liberties, Financial Murder, NSA, President Obama, Riots, War, Warmth without Fire, Wordpress | Tags: America, Army, BP, Destruction, Fear, Florida State University, Google, Harvard University, Marquette University, Milwaukee Journal, New York Times, Oil Spill, Philip M. Edwards, Politics, President, St. Petersburg Times, Truth, Yahoo |