Scientific Theories are predictive, however, societies’ songs prohibit most predictions…WOW!

For the Programmer:

Bayes’ Theorem is a simple mathematical formula used for calculating conditional probabilities. It figures prominently in subjectivist or Bayesian approaches to epistemology, statistics, and inductive logic. Subjectivists, who maintain that rational belief is governed by the laws of probability, lean heavily on conditional probabilities in their theories of evidence and their models of empirical learning. Bayes’ Theorem is central to these enterprises both because it simplifies the calculation of conditional probabilities and because it clarifies significant features of subjectivist position.

Indeed, the Theorem’s central insight — that a hypothesis is confirmed by any body of data that its truth renders probable — is the cornerstone of all subjectivist methodology.

Bayes’ Theorem. PE(H) = [P(H)/P(E)] PH(E)

The probability of a hypothesis H conditional on a given body of data E is the ratio of the unconditional probability of the conjunction of the hypothesis with the data to the unconditional probability of the data alone.

Definition:  
The probability of H conditional on E is defined as PE(H) = P(H & E)/P(E), provided that both terms of this ratio exist and P(E) > 0

Here are some straightforward consequences…
Probability. PE is a probability function.
Logical Consequence. If E entails H, then PE(H) =

Preservation of Certainties. If P(H) = 1, then PE(H) =

Mixing. P(H) = P(E)PE(H) + P(~E)P~E(H)

So too, there are no reasons for a Society to forever Survive…Societies cannot forever last because they cannot be predicted into a certain oblivion…No Way and No How and Oh My!

Machiavellian:

Christians, Jews and  Muslim—in constant enmity with one another? It satirizes self-contented morality and suggests that, in the end, all religious groups are equally likely to engage in violent and selfish acts, regardless of their professed moral teachings.

Peace must live if all others die…Peace hurts – Peace sleeps today and tomorrow. Peace dies little by little in moments gained or little by little everyday!

Wondering when: Users of those little killer pills realize the only notion of their Lizard Kingdom, is the notion of many Pill Mill you peel’ums available by laws or not taxed by laws but needed and distributed from the glory of car-trunks, pushers and such. Price swings with demand or your supply? How about today? Or! Tomorrow maybe too late for profit or tax.

Wondering when the next shipment arrives!

Diamond shines from a million skylights framing the eye of beholder and the mind of rider and his lover and her hand in his, leather brush and cool night wind touches cheek and neck and above heaven shine, diamonds dance and stars command notice as quickly as the desert fills with Light and Shape and Life.

Names: Wickenburg, Old West Town, Hwy. 60, Northwest on Hwy. 90, North on Hwy 89 and Josuha Tree Forest, Wickieup Gas and on and stop and on and on…ad infinitum

A person with one new idea or a creator on earth-type; artists, authors and etc…ad infinitum lookout because in the next life you will be blah, blah and…A view of morality and the old woodshed syndrome. The Bible says and says and says and I am a minister/priest/bishop and many names for “I will get your money and scare the hell right out of you.” OK?

However, we are NOT a mixed-up group of Sinners. The growing number of jobs lost and the homeless folk are not sinners. Perhaps, the real sinners are the very people creating that word and used that label to dehumanize the very people that need the church and its fearful wealth, for food and for shelter and for safety from this world and not the next place called either heaven or hell…Mankind does not require more hunger and fear. Heaven is not a Horror show and there is no Hell. Earth-side living is hell enough. The afterlife is…Oh well; do you really know the truth?

Churches and ministers, welcome your people without money to support any religious class and sub-class and so on. Keep them safe and keep them warm and drive away their fears. Do unto others what is right without scorn and without judgment. Is the Roman Catholic Church really a Cult?

The church was once people and maybe a safe-house or cave or a building. The church is people. Peace and Love and Understanding is not a building nor a wealth, nor a place with so many Judges. Peace and Love and Understanding never required religion. The Tiers of Survival are People and Life both Past and in the Present. And! We will manage the Future, just in time.

“So! You ask me if I have been saved?” And! I ask, “What’s  it to You!”

Thanks!

PME…

All of us have the freedom to explore and improvise within an uncertain framework.  So! Do we improvise with words?

Then Shift to:

Fear of not noticing this life and this death. No! For he is fondly remembered and has not been fondly remembered by all of us that knew him. He is sure that they cannot remember his name. For he has forgotten many of those faces that had trusted their images to his memory. He has also forgotten those places  trusted to be static and not revolving around stationary constucted worlds. How many imaginary worlds spin around an imaginary sun? He has always been an alien not wishing to intrude but longing to belong. Is acceptance another loss within a simple victory?

Presently, he does not enjoy the stares of strangers or laughter when not with him but about him. He has often been too frightened by an overwhelming jumble of sensual adjustments. He has always been a waif, alone and among many and wanting to go home.  Among us, he is a familiar spirit, a mirror we stare into and recognize when the moons have disappeared into the light of an ancient dawn.

The (911) symphony was a perfect reason to promote warfare and fear in a well-educated and comfortable population. Boom-Boom and click-clack and the War of Industrial adventure begins, again. If the Greed of Destruction can be hidden and if new formulations of economic manufacturing can be introduced, re-introduced and popped-into news bits and pieces, then our economic problems, torture and even Gitmo enemies will disappear, until our politics are re-written. Not a sometime convenient truth, however, comfort and hunger, safety and terror is so very close to us.

War against the fear of life’s inconvenient truths and that tiny space between life and death can be hidden by the incessant babbling of giant media’s own brand of the News carefully crafted and released by Big Brother. We are in a foreign war against terror and again, we are in a war against our own economical terror…

A twinkle and in today’s news, an organized housing crisis, money loaned and not returned by the debtor and flash a newly created old Terror…The wealth of the country is still there, however, the middle class is fading to black.  Could a new war against Terror not be needed in Iraq but instead in the Western Civilized World. The Greed of Destruction is always just a shot away…

Do not blame the hungry and terrorized folk from countries of our Hemisphere . They cross an invisible line called a boarder to find work and to feed their families. Are we Americans now practicing an old form of terrorism?

Prior to WII, Hilter devised an  enemy of the state. From this enemy, he was able to scapegoat the European Jewish state. He blamed, any and all social and economical conditions after WWI on  this Jewish state. The results were the worst horrors ever recorded. The Russian  State was able to destroy their enemies using a German Solution.

Is America just a few more bank failures and buyouts from the creation of a State Enemy_Mexico?

News is purchased by anyone with the money and power and popularity to rewrite News.

So…Arizona and Florida and Rock- On America!

Toy soldiers and Communism and proxy wars against damning influences in any country. The US of A will eventually bring war to many countries near you…Creation and then Destruction and construction and destruction.

Once upon a time, Afghanistan was at war with mother Russia. Mother Russia was a Communist country and wham, bam…thank-you…! Without 1980’s politics and its economic model the Taliban would not exist. No war equals better farming and ultimately lower street value for a better drug…WoW! Our next shipment is on its way?

Imagine a young mother. The young mother carries a baby. The baby is covered with a thin blanket. As bombs explode around the mother and the baby, please imagine that they are running across a damage street from one building into another. Imagine, they are joined by (200) other women holding, within thin blankets, two-hundred little ones . Love! And the survival of life.

Life is sacred. Stop the killing and the blood-spilling. Hope young mothers and babies end their running, alive for another day.

Respect and Understanding and Peace and Love…No Religion Required!

Later time, alone.
He reached and she also arms opened.

The long kisses.
The taste of her.
And to her his mouth.
The holding of one to other.

A whisper he to her ear, And!
“Forever or almost or…”

Touch mouth, a breath away and
She ” I know” softly then the not
Alone touch of silence sweet.

And!  Beautiful You Are…